Tricky forecast-- but snow seems likely most areas Monday night into Tuesday.

I've been watching a storm for the past few days and it was a challenge based on which wave would be the "show"-- wave one or two and that made a difference on our forecast. It appears now that wave 1 will be the show and most of the state will see some snow falling.

Models struggled if the storm would JUST be energy along the polar jet, marked with the 1. Some thoughts were we needed it to phase with piece 2 to get a big storm. It now appears the polar jet energy will be enough to foster a storm.

As of now, Sussex is the highest risk of a good snowfall, Kent second and New Castle last-- but all regions should see some type of snow. New Castle's odds are HIGHEST to get shut out.. but I see that as unlikely at this time.  

I will start my guess at 3-6 for everyone SOUTH of Dover and 2-4 for everyone north. Decent shot that we have to got 4-8 Sussex and 3-6 rest of the state, but I want to wait another round of model runs.