I've been watching a storm for the past few days and it was a challenge based on which wave would be the "show"-- wave one or two and that made a difference on our forecast. It appears now that wave 1 will be the show and most of the state will see some snow falling.
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Models struggled if the storm would JUST be energy along the polar jet, marked with the 1. Some thoughts were we needed it to phase with piece 2 to get a big storm. It now appears the polar jet energy will be enough to foster a storm.
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As of now, Sussex is the highest risk of a good snowfall, Kent second and New Castle last-- but all regions should see some type of snow. New Castle's odds are HIGHEST to get shut out.. but I see that as unlikely at this time.
I will start my guess at 3-6 for everyone SOUTH of Dover and 2-4 for everyone north. Decent shot that we have to got 4-8 Sussex and 3-6 rest of the state, but I want to wait another round of model runs.
